Use sufi, policy, education, technology, communications, GlobalVillage School
A traditional book has covers, a table of
contents, chapters so is linear and fixed in time and space. An electric
book has search engines
use "wiredbrain" which is not limited in content therefore is non-linear
and not fixed in time or space.
The Money Machine Stocks
The Money Machine
Work
in progress -
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.rr.com>
"Companies of the future"
Click Here to Wiredbrain Index
Finance Physics:
Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.Finance Physics:
There are a couple of big issues that could be debated and move the country forward in preparation for the coming crisis .
The overhang of benefits for the aged - In 1935 less 2.3 million were born and have reached 65 in 2000- in 1950 over four million were born and will reach 65 in 2015 - the current benefit is over $10,000 for Medicare and more for Social Security and going up with inflation and with more medical services the total will climb from the current about $ 400 billion ( $ 215 Medicare) to $ 1.2 trillion - 4.2 % of GNP up from 2 % for Medicare. ( Health care is 14 % of GNP )
http://www.lib.umich.edu/libhome/Documents.center/stats.html
The numbers go from 33 million beneficiaries to 60 million or 13 % to 27 %, ( children are 25 % of the population or 75 million ) , workers paying in decline from 130 million ( 45 % ) 5 workers to 1 retired to 120 or 2 to 1 worker to retired.
The cost will be 85 % of the current taxes / budget base and 20 % to 40 % of all earned income at 1.2 Trillion ( $ 1,200,000,000.00 ) or 10 % of the projected 12 trillion GDP rather quickly.
http://concordcoalition.org/
THE MISSING ISSUE IN THE CAMPAIGN"
Last month, the CBO released a study that tallies up federal spending on the elderly and children. It shows that, per capita, spending on the elderly towers seven-to-one over spending on kids, and that, overall, it consumes 35 percent of the budget. This is before the age wave even begins to roll in. By 2050, according to the White House, the major senior benefit programs will consume an incredible 84 percent of budget outlays.
It would be hard to deny that the rising cost of senior benefits is one of the biggest challenges facing national policymakers in the twenty-first century. How to control that cost ought to be a central issue in the presidential campaign. But the candidates are apparently more comfortable talking about intangibles like values and leadership than about fundamental resource trade-offs. And when they do raise concrete policy issues, from school standards to law enforcement, the issues are often ones over which, unlike senior benefits, the federal government can exercise little direct control."[ 25 % children and youth, 55 % labor pool ( 120 million working of 154 or 80 % working others in school, mothers at home and unemployed ) , 16 % elderly and the rest 5 % disabled or in jail etc. to 22 % children, 47 % labor pool, 27 % over 65 - ] Today’s school children could face a very good labor market if they get basic skill and are ready for the knowledge age.
The higher cost of labor should push technology as we become more capital intensive.
Fewer workers creating a larger economy should mean higher wages if the system is not dragged down by benefits. Private saving increase investment and growth - government benefits decrease saving, work, and investment and therefore drag the economy down. Retirement could be shifted to private savings and investment by subsidies of 401 ( k ) and IRA for more and more people.
For the poor 100 % support, declining twice as fast for each higher decile of median income - .i.e.. if you are at the 20 % level of all incomes you get a 60 % subsidy , 30% from the bottom gives is 40 % support level - of $100 in retirement ( or health benefits ) and the government gives you $ 40 toward your retirement.
The support ends at 50 % or the median income, half higher, half lower.
Then additional public benefits could be means tested and budgeted rather than an open check book system.
The Social Security and Medicare Trust fund could be transferred to the Federal Reserve - who would appoint trustees who would invest the funds like any other retirement fund such as the California States Employees fund. Current beneficiaries would be held harmless ( grandfather clause ) - and health benefits would be a fixed amount with choices such as the Federal Employees Health Plan with again a more support for the poor.
Pay more get more is not a new idea, competition and benefit / cost analysis as in every other aspect of life. No free lunch. If health care is not paid for by the client ( but a third party ) and the doctor benefits from services - it will be too expensive.
The trade imbalance is related to investment in that we are importing foreign cash to balance our export of US dollars to buy foreign goods.
Increased local savings will lower interest rates - by increasing the supply of money - and reduce the attraction of foreign investment. This will force an orderly decline in the overpriced dollar - make imports more expensive and exports cheaper. I think Ross Parot could explain it with charts but Protection is not the answer.
The gender gap is because unmarried women ( I will fight for you ) need more outside support including government help and feel ( without fathers or husbands ) more insecure than married women and many men.
They have to feel that paying down the debt, setting social security on a really sound footing, providing medical care, education and other critical public services is safe for them. ( No risky schemes ) and have less concern with tax cuts and ideological motivations.
They have to take care of children, often the elderly or are elderly themselves - they know where the tire hits the road and don't want any fancy machine going too fast on unsafe tires. After the Democratic convention, Al Gore reasserted his lead over Republican George W. Bush among women, with a margin of 15 points or more in some polls, while making the race close among men.
Can Bush win? That question, which had been the subtext to the last couple of weeks of presidential campaign coverage, is increasingly becoming the main text — no longer "subliminable," as one candidate might say.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28193-2000Sep18.html
"Most countries continue to face heavy tax burdens and high debt stocks and are ill-prepared to deal with the coming demographic shock from aging populations," the report said.
http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/09/imf-europe A huge U.S. trade deficit could turn into a serious problem for the American economy if foreigners were to decide suddenly to dump dollar-denominated assets, which could push the U.S. currency down sharply and trigger steep declines in U.S. stock and bond markets http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/08/news-world-economy Referring to the various threats, the IMF said, "
The possibility that these imbalances may unwind in a disorderly fashion remains a risk to the global expansion." As for oil, the IMF said oil prices are about 20 percent higher than the IMF had assumed in its economic forecast, an increase of $5 a barrel. It estimated this should add $40 billion over a year's time to the oil import bills of industrial countries and cut their economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.
In the
current context the following will happen - the only question is when:
1.)
The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:
2.) Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar securities have to pay;
3.)
The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market "correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks.
We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers
sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent
some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity"
for the Pacific Rim.
The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.
NEXUM
Like the human brain, the
internet's packets system
can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to
build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would
have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken
into short message blocks now called "packets," each containing its own
routing information,
like a DNA molecule, and
able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred.
With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed
the Internet, click here for the emerging history
of
the 21st century.
Something missing:
An astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever be able to
understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.
Most people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty mile range.
Their perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.
The irrational base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the physical.
The new world order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation.
]
The technology itself is revolutionary.
The global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional, mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the existing order.
Current posts
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cfl.rr.com
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfl.rr.comt/
post.htm
political initiative
social political issues.htm
The go get them firms
The next post PC technologies
The next great technologies
salestax
educational reform
communications technology
The next companies & technologies
http://www.wiredbrain.net/NEXUM.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm
High Speed Internet by Soliton
|
|
Use sufi, policy, education, technology, communications, GlobalVillage School
A traditional book has covers, a table of
contents, chapters so is linear and fixed in time and space. An electric
book has search engines
use "wiredbrain" which is not limited in content therefore is non-linear
and not fixed in time or space.
Use sufi, policy, education, technology, communications, GlobalVillage School
A traditional book has covers, a table of
contents, chapters so is linear and fixed in time and space. An electric
book has search engines
use "wiredbrain" which is not limited in content therefore is non-linear
and not fixed in time or space.
Use sufi, policy, education, technology, communications, GlobalVillage School
A traditional book has covers, a table of
contents, chapters so is linear and fixed in time and space. An electric
book has search engines
use "wiredbrain" which is not limited in content therefore is non-linear
and not fixed in time or space.
A traditional book has covers, a table of
contents, chapters so is linear and fixed in time and space. An electric
book has search engines
use "wiredbrain" which is not limited in content therefore is non-linear
and not fixed in time or space.
The Money Machine Stocks
The Money Machine
The Money Machine
Work
in progress -
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.rr.com>
"Companies of the future"
Click Here to Wiredbrain Index
Finance Physics:
Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.Finance Physics:
There are a couple of big issues that could be debated and move the country forward in preparation for the coming crisis .
The overhang of benefits for the aged - In 1935 less 2.3 million were born and have reached 65 in 2000- in 1950 over four million were born and will reach 65 in 2015 - the current benefit is over $10,000 for Medicare and more for Social Security and going up with inflation and with more medical services the total will climb from the current about $ 400 billion ( $ 215 Medicare) to $ 1.2 trillion - 4.2 % of GNP up from 2 % for Medicare. ( Health care is 14 % of GNP )
http://www.lib.umich.edu/libhome/Documents.center/stats.html
The numbers go from 33 million beneficiaries to 60 million or 13 % to 27 %, ( children are 25 % of the population or 75 million ) , workers paying in decline from 130 million ( 45 % ) 5 workers to 1 retired to 120 or 2 to 1 worker to retired.
The cost will be 85 % of the current taxes / budget base and 20 % to 40 % of all earned income at 1.2 Trillion ( $ 1,200,000,000.00 ) or 10 % of the projected 12 trillion GDP rather quickly.
http://concordcoalition.org/
THE MISSING ISSUE IN THE CAMPAIGN"
Last month, the CBO released a study that tallies up federal spending on the elderly and children. It shows that, per capita, spending on the elderly towers seven-to-one over spending on kids, and that, overall, it consumes 35 percent of the budget. This is before the age wave even begins to roll in. By 2050, according to the White House, the major senior benefit programs will consume an incredible 84 percent of budget outlays.
It would be hard to deny that the rising cost of senior benefits is one of the biggest challenges facing national policymakers in the twenty-first century. How to control that cost ought to be a central issue in the presidential campaign. But the candidates are apparently more comfortable talking about intangibles like values and leadership than about fundamental resource trade-offs. And when they do raise concrete policy issues, from school standards to law enforcement, the issues are often ones over which, unlike senior benefits, the federal government can exercise little direct control."[ 25 % children and youth, 55 % labor pool ( 120 million working of 154 or 80 % working others in school, mothers at home and unemployed ) , 16 % elderly and the rest 5 % disabled or in jail etc. to 22 % children, 47 % labor pool, 27 % over 65 - ] Today’s school children could face a very good labor market if they get basic skill and are ready for the knowledge age.
The higher cost of labor should push technology as we become more capital intensive.
Fewer workers creating a larger economy should mean higher wages if the system is not dragged down by benefits. Private saving increase investment and growth - government benefits decrease saving, work, and investment and therefore drag the economy down. Retirement could be shifted to private savings and investment by subsidies of 401 ( k ) and IRA for more and more people.
For the poor 100 % support, declining twice as fast for each higher decile of median income - .i.e.. if you are at the 20 % level of all incomes you get a 60 % subsidy , 30% from the bottom gives is 40 % support level - of $100 in retirement ( or health benefits ) and the government gives you $ 40 toward your retirement.
The support ends at 50 % or the median income, half higher, half lower.
Then additional public benefits could be means tested and budgeted rather than an open check book system.
The Social Security and Medicare Trust fund could be transferred to the Federal Reserve - who would appoint trustees who would invest the funds like any other retirement fund such as the California States Employees fund. Current beneficiaries would be held harmless ( grandfather clause ) - and health benefits would be a fixed amount with choices such as the Federal Employees Health Plan with again a more support for the poor.
Pay more get more is not a new idea, competition and benefit / cost analysis as in every other aspect of life. No free lunch. If health care is not paid for by the client ( but a third party ) and the doctor benefits from services - it will be too expensive.
The trade imbalance is related to investment in that we are importing foreign cash to balance our export of US dollars to buy foreign goods.
Increased local savings will lower interest rates - by increasing the supply of money - and reduce the attraction of foreign investment. This will force an orderly decline in the overpriced dollar - make imports more expensive and exports cheaper. I think Ross Parot could explain it with charts but Protection is not the answer.
The gender gap is because unmarried women ( I will fight for you ) need more outside support including government help and feel ( without fathers or husbands ) more insecure than married women and many men.
They have to feel that paying down the debt, setting social security on a really sound footing, providing medical care, education and other critical public services is safe for them. ( No risky schemes ) and have less concern with tax cuts and ideological motivations.
They have to take care of children, often the elderly or are elderly themselves - they know where the tire hits the road and don't want any fancy machine going too fast on unsafe tires. After the Democratic convention, Al Gore reasserted his lead over Republican George W. Bush among women, with a margin of 15 points or more in some polls, while making the race close among men.
Can Bush win? That question, which had been the subtext to the last couple of weeks of presidential campaign coverage, is increasingly becoming the main text — no longer "subliminable," as one candidate might say.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28193-2000Sep18.html
"Most countries continue to face heavy tax burdens and high debt stocks and are ill-prepared to deal with the coming demographic shock from aging populations," the report said.
http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/09/imf-europe A huge U.S. trade deficit could turn into a serious problem for the American economy if foreigners were to decide suddenly to dump dollar-denominated assets, which could push the U.S. currency down sharply and trigger steep declines in U.S. stock and bond markets http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/08/news-world-economy Referring to the various threats, the IMF said, "
The possibility that these imbalances may unwind in a disorderly fashion remains a risk to the global expansion." As for oil, the IMF said oil prices are about 20 percent higher than the IMF had assumed in its economic forecast, an increase of $5 a barrel. It estimated this should add $40 billion over a year's time to the oil import bills of industrial countries and cut their economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.
In the
current context the following will happen - the only question is when:
1.)
The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:
2.) Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar securities have to pay;
3.)
The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market "correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks.
We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers
sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent
some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity"
for the Pacific Rim.
The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.
NEXUM
Like the human brain, the
internet's packets system
can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to
build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would
have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken
into short message blocks now called "packets," each containing its own
routing information,
like a DNA molecule, and
able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred.
With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed
the Internet, click here for the emerging history
of
the 21st century.
Something missing:
An astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever be able to
understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.
Most people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty mile range.
Their perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.
The irrational base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the physical.
The new world order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation.
]
The technology itself is revolutionary.
The global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional, mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the existing order.
Current posts
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cfl.rr.com
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfl.rr.comt/
post.htm
political initiative
social political issues.htm
The go get them firms
The next post PC technologies
The next great technologies
salestax
educational reform
communications technology
The next companies & technologies
http://www.wiredbrain.net/NEXUM.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm
High Speed Internet by Soliton
Work in progress -
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.rr.com>
"Companies of the future"
Click Here to Wiredbrain Index
Finance Physics:
Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.Finance Physics:
There are a couple of big issues that could be debated and move the country forward in preparation for the coming crisis .
The overhang of benefits for the aged - In 1935 less 2.3 million were born and have reached 65 in 2000- in 1950 over four million were born and will reach 65 in 2015 - the current benefit is over $10,000 for Medicare and more for Social Security and going up with inflation and with more medical services the total will climb from the current about $ 400 billion ( $ 215 Medicare) to $ 1.2 trillion - 4.2 % of GNP up from 2 % for Medicare. ( Health care is 14 % of GNP )
http://www.lib.umich.edu/libhome/Documents.center/stats.html
The numbers go from 33 million beneficiaries to 60 million or 13 % to 27 %, ( children are 25 % of the population or 75 million ) , workers paying in decline from 130 million ( 45 % ) 5 workers to 1 retired to 120 or 2 to 1 worker to retired.
The cost will be 85 % of the current taxes / budget base and 20 % to 40 % of all earned income at 1.2 Trillion ( $ 1,200,000,000.00 ) or 10 % of the projected 12 trillion GDP rather quickly.
http://concordcoalition.org/
THE MISSING ISSUE IN THE CAMPAIGN"
Last month, the CBO released a study that tallies up federal spending on the elderly and children. It shows that, per capita, spending on the elderly towers seven-to-one over spending on kids, and that, overall, it consumes 35 percent of the budget. This is before the age wave even begins to roll in. By 2050, according to the White House, the major senior benefit programs will consume an incredible 84 percent of budget outlays.
It would be hard to deny that the rising cost of senior benefits is one of the biggest challenges facing national policymakers in the twenty-first century. How to control that cost ought to be a central issue in the presidential campaign. But the candidates are apparently more comfortable talking about intangibles like values and leadership than about fundamental resource trade-offs. And when they do raise concrete policy issues, from school standards to law enforcement, the issues are often ones over which, unlike senior benefits, the federal government can exercise little direct control."[ 25 % children and youth, 55 % labor pool ( 120 million working of 154 or 80 % working others in school, mothers at home and unemployed ) , 16 % elderly and the rest 5 % disabled or in jail etc. to 22 % children, 47 % labor pool, 27 % over 65 - ] Today’s school children could face a very good labor market if they get basic skill and are ready for the knowledge age.
The higher cost of labor should push technology as we become more capital intensive.
Fewer workers creating a larger economy should mean higher wages if the system is not dragged down by benefits. Private saving increase investment and growth - government benefits decrease saving, work, and investment and therefore drag the economy down. Retirement could be shifted to private savings and investment by subsidies of 401 ( k ) and IRA for more and more people.
For the poor 100 % support, declining twice as fast for each higher decile of median income - .i.e.. if you are at the 20 % level of all incomes you get a 60 % subsidy , 30% from the bottom gives is 40 % support level - of $100 in retirement ( or health benefits ) and the government gives you $ 40 toward your retirement.
The support ends at 50 % or the median income, half higher, half lower.
Then additional public benefits could be means tested and budgeted rather than an open check book system.
The Social Security and Medicare Trust fund could be transferred to the Federal Reserve - who would appoint trustees who would invest the funds like any other retirement fund such as the California States Employees fund. Current beneficiaries would be held harmless ( grandfather clause ) - and health benefits would be a fixed amount with choices such as the Federal Employees Health Plan with again a more support for the poor.
Pay more get more is not a new idea, competition and benefit / cost analysis as in every other aspect of life. No free lunch. If health care is not paid for by the client ( but a third party ) and the doctor benefits from services - it will be too expensive.
The trade imbalance is related to investment in that we are importing foreign cash to balance our export of US dollars to buy foreign goods.
Increased local savings will lower interest rates - by increasing the supply of money - and reduce the attraction of foreign investment. This will force an orderly decline in the overpriced dollar - make imports more expensive and exports cheaper. I think Ross Parot could explain it with charts but Protection is not the answer.
The gender gap is because unmarried women ( I will fight for you ) need more outside support including government help and feel ( without fathers or husbands ) more insecure than married women and many men.
They have to feel that paying down the debt, setting social security on a really sound footing, providing medical care, education and other critical public services is safe for them. ( No risky schemes ) and have less concern with tax cuts and ideological motivations.
They have to take care of children, often the elderly or are elderly themselves - they know where the tire hits the road and don't want any fancy machine going too fast on unsafe tires. After the Democratic convention, Al Gore reasserted his lead over Republican George W. Bush among women, with a margin of 15 points or more in some polls, while making the race close among men.
Can Bush win? That question, which had been the subtext to the last couple of weeks of presidential campaign coverage, is increasingly becoming the main text — no longer "subliminable," as one candidate might say.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28193-2000Sep18.html
"Most countries continue to face heavy tax burdens and high debt stocks and are ill-prepared to deal with the coming demographic shock from aging populations," the report said.
http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/09/imf-europe A huge U.S. trade deficit could turn into a serious problem for the American economy if foreigners were to decide suddenly to dump dollar-denominated assets, which could push the U.S. currency down sharply and trigger steep declines in U.S. stock and bond markets http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/08/news-world-economy Referring to the various threats, the IMF said, "
The possibility that these imbalances may unwind in a disorderly fashion remains a risk to the global expansion." As for oil, the IMF said oil prices are about 20 percent higher than the IMF had assumed in its economic forecast, an increase of $5 a barrel. It estimated this should add $40 billion over a year's time to the oil import bills of industrial countries and cut their economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.
In the
current context the following will happen - the only question is when:
1.)
The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:
2.) Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar securities have to pay;
3.)
The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market "correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks.
We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers
sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent
some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity"
for the Pacific Rim.
The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.
NEXUM
Like the human brain, the
internet's packets system
can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to
build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would
have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken
into short message blocks now called "packets," each containing its own
routing information,
like a DNA molecule, and
able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred.
With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed
the Internet, click here for the emerging history
of
the 21st century.
Something missing:
An astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever be able to
understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.
Most people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty mile range.
Their perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.
The irrational base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the physical.
The new world order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation.
]
The technology itself is revolutionary.
The global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional, mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the existing order.
Current posts
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cfl.rr.com
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfl.rr.comt/
post.htm
political initiative
social political issues.htm
The go get them firms
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.rr.com>
"Companies of the future"
Click Here to Wiredbrain Index
Finance Physics:
Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.Finance Physics:
There are a couple of big issues that could be debated and move the country forward in preparation for the coming crisis .
The overhang of benefits for the aged - In 1935 less 2.3 million were born and have reached 65 in 2000- in 1950 over four million were born and will reach 65 in 2015 - the current benefit is over $10,000 for Medicare and more for Social Security and going up with inflation and with more medical services the total will climb from the current about $ 400 billion ( $ 215 Medicare) to $ 1.2 trillion - 4.2 % of GNP up from 2 % for Medicare. ( Health care is 14 % of GNP )
http://www.lib.umich.edu/libhome/Documents.center/stats.html
The numbers go from 33 million beneficiaries to 60 million or 13 % to 27 %, ( children are 25 % of the population or 75 million ) , workers paying in decline from 130 million ( 45 % ) 5 workers to 1 retired to 120 or 2 to 1 worker to retired.
The cost will be 85 % of the current taxes / budget base and 20 % to 40 % of all earned income at 1.2 Trillion ( $ 1,200,000,000.00 ) or 10 % of the projected 12 trillion GDP rather quickly.
http://concordcoalition.org/
THE MISSING ISSUE IN THE CAMPAIGN"
Last month, the CBO released a study that tallies up federal spending on the elderly and children. It shows that, per capita, spending on the elderly towers seven-to-one over spending on kids, and that, overall, it consumes 35 percent of the budget. This is before the age wave even begins to roll in. By 2050, according to the White House, the major senior benefit programs will consume an incredible 84 percent of budget outlays.
It would be hard to deny that the rising cost of senior benefits is one of the biggest challenges facing national policymakers in the twenty-first century. How to control that cost ought to be a central issue in the presidential campaign. But the candidates are apparently more comfortable talking about intangibles like values and leadership than about fundamental resource trade-offs. And when they do raise concrete policy issues, from school standards to law enforcement, the issues are often ones over which, unlike senior benefits, the federal government can exercise little direct control."[ 25 % children and youth, 55 % labor pool ( 120 million working of 154 or 80 % working others in school, mothers at home and unemployed ) , 16 % elderly and the rest 5 % disabled or in jail etc. to 22 % children, 47 % labor pool, 27 % over 65 - ] Today’s school children could face a very good labor market if they get basic skill and are ready for the knowledge age.
The higher cost of labor should push technology as we become more capital intensive.
Fewer workers creating a larger economy should mean higher wages if the system is not dragged down by benefits. Private saving increase investment and growth - government benefits decrease saving, work, and investment and therefore drag the economy down. Retirement could be shifted to private savings and investment by subsidies of 401 ( k ) and IRA for more and more people.
For the poor 100 % support, declining twice as fast for each higher decile of median income - .i.e.. if you are at the 20 % level of all incomes you get a 60 % subsidy , 30% from the bottom gives is 40 % support level - of $100 in retirement ( or health benefits ) and the government gives you $ 40 toward your retirement.
The support ends at 50 % or the median income, half higher, half lower.
Then additional public benefits could be means tested and budgeted rather than an open check book system.
The Social Security and Medicare Trust fund could be transferred to the Federal Reserve - who would appoint trustees who would invest the funds like any other retirement fund such as the California States Employees fund. Current beneficiaries would be held harmless ( grandfather clause ) - and health benefits would be a fixed amount with choices such as the Federal Employees Health Plan with again a more support for the poor.
Pay more get more is not a new idea, competition and benefit / cost analysis as in every other aspect of life. No free lunch. If health care is not paid for by the client ( but a third party ) and the doctor benefits from services - it will be too expensive.
The trade imbalance is related to investment in that we are importing foreign cash to balance our export of US dollars to buy foreign goods.
Increased local savings will lower interest rates - by increasing the supply of money - and reduce the attraction of foreign investment. This will force an orderly decline in the overpriced dollar - make imports more expensive and exports cheaper. I think Ross Parot could explain it with charts but Protection is not the answer.
The gender gap is because unmarried women ( I will fight for you ) need more outside support including government help and feel ( without fathers or husbands ) more insecure than married women and many men.
They have to feel that paying down the debt, setting social security on a really sound footing, providing medical care, education and other critical public services is safe for them. ( No risky schemes ) and have less concern with tax cuts and ideological motivations.
They have to take care of children, often the elderly or are elderly themselves - they know where the tire hits the road and don't want any fancy machine going too fast on unsafe tires. After the Democratic convention, Al Gore reasserted his lead over Republican George W. Bush among women, with a margin of 15 points or more in some polls, while making the race close among men.
Can Bush win? That question, which had been the subtext to the last couple of weeks of presidential campaign coverage, is increasingly becoming the main text — no longer "subliminable," as one candidate might say.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28193-2000Sep18.html
"Most countries continue to face heavy tax burdens and high debt stocks and are ill-prepared to deal with the coming demographic shock from aging populations," the report said.
http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/09/imf-europe A huge U.S. trade deficit could turn into a serious problem for the American economy if foreigners were to decide suddenly to dump dollar-denominated assets, which could push the U.S. currency down sharply and trigger steep declines in U.S. stock and bond markets http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/08/news-world-economy Referring to the various threats, the IMF said, "
The possibility that these imbalances may unwind in a disorderly fashion remains a risk to the global expansion." As for oil, the IMF said oil prices are about 20 percent higher than the IMF had assumed in its economic forecast, an increase of $5 a barrel. It estimated this should add $40 billion over a year's time to the oil import bills of industrial countries and cut their economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.
In the
current context the following will happen - the only question is when:
1.)
The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:
2.) Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar securities have to pay;
3.)
The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market "correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks.
We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers
sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent
some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity"
for the Pacific Rim.
The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.
NEXUM
Like the human brain, the
internet's packets system
can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to
build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would
have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken
into short message blocks now called "packets," each containing its own
routing information,
like a DNA molecule, and
able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred.
With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed
the Internet, click here for the emerging history
of
the 21st century.
Something missing:
An astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever be able to
understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.
Most people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty mile range.
Their perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.
The irrational base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the physical.
The new world order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation.
]
The technology itself is revolutionary.
The global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional, mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the existing order.
Current posts
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cfl.rr.com
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfl.rr.comt/
post.htm
political initiative
social political issues.htm
The go get them firms
pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.pflaump@cfl.rr.com>
"Companies of the future"
Click Here to Wiredbrain Index
Finance Physics:
Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.Finance Physics:
There are a couple of big issues that could be debated and move the country forward in preparation for the coming crisis .
The overhang of benefits for the aged - In 1935 less 2.3 million were born and have reached 65 in 2000- in 1950 over four million were born and will reach 65 in 2015 - the current benefit is over $10,000 for Medicare and more for Social Security and going up with inflation and with more medical services the total will climb from the current about $ 400 billion ( $ 215 Medicare) to $ 1.2 trillion - 4.2 % of GNP up from 2 % for Medicare. ( Health care is 14 % of GNP )
http://www.lib.umich.edu/libhome/Documents.center/stats.html
The numbers go from 33 million beneficiaries to 60 million or 13 % to 27 %, ( children are 25 % of the population or 75 million ) , workers paying in decline from 130 million ( 45 % ) 5 workers to 1 retired to 120 or 2 to 1 worker to retired.
The cost will be 85 % of the current taxes / budget base and 20 % to 40 % of all earned income at 1.2 Trillion ( $ 1,200,000,000.00 ) or 10 % of the projected 12 trillion GDP rather quickly.
http://concordcoalition.org/
THE MISSING ISSUE IN THE CAMPAIGN"
Last month, the CBO released a study that tallies up federal spending on the elderly and children. It shows that, per capita, spending on the elderly towers seven-to-one over spending on kids, and that, overall, it consumes 35 percent of the budget. This is before the age wave even begins to roll in. By 2050, according to the White House, the major senior benefit programs will consume an incredible 84 percent of budget outlays.
It would be hard to deny that the rising cost of senior benefits is one of the biggest challenges facing national policymakers in the twenty-first century. How to control that cost ought to be a central issue in the presidential campaign. But the candidates are apparently more comfortable talking about intangibles like values and leadership than about fundamental resource trade-offs. And when they do raise concrete policy issues, from school standards to law enforcement, the issues are often ones over which, unlike senior benefits, the federal government can exercise little direct control."[ 25 % children and youth, 55 % labor pool ( 120 million working of 154 or 80 % working others in school, mothers at home and unemployed ) , 16 % elderly and the rest 5 % disabled or in jail etc. to 22 % children, 47 % labor pool, 27 % over 65 - ] Today’s school children could face a very good labor market if they get basic skill and are ready for the knowledge age.
The higher cost of labor should push technology as we become more capital intensive.
Fewer workers creating a larger economy should mean higher wages if the system is not dragged down by benefits. Private saving increase investment and growth - government benefits decrease saving, work, and investment and therefore drag the economy down. Retirement could be shifted to private savings and investment by subsidies of 401 ( k ) and IRA for more and more people.
For the poor 100 % support, declining twice as fast for each higher decile of median income - .i.e.. if you are at the 20 % level of all incomes you get a 60 % subsidy , 30% from the bottom gives is 40 % support level - of $100 in retirement ( or health benefits ) and the government gives you $ 40 toward your retirement.
The support ends at 50 % or the median income, half higher, half lower.
Then additional public benefits could be means tested and budgeted rather than an open check book system.
The Social Security and Medicare Trust fund could be transferred to the Federal Reserve - who would appoint trustees who would invest the funds like any other retirement fund such as the California States Employees fund. Current beneficiaries would be held harmless ( grandfather clause ) - and health benefits would be a fixed amount with choices such as the Federal Employees Health Plan with again a more support for the poor.
Pay more get more is not a new idea, competition and benefit / cost analysis as in every other aspect of life. No free lunch. If health care is not paid for by the client ( but a third party ) and the doctor benefits from services - it will be too expensive.
The trade imbalance is related to investment in that we are importing foreign cash to balance our export of US dollars to buy foreign goods.
Increased local savings will lower interest rates - by increasing the supply of money - and reduce the attraction of foreign investment. This will force an orderly decline in the overpriced dollar - make imports more expensive and exports cheaper. I think Ross Parot could explain it with charts but Protection is not the answer.
The gender gap is because unmarried women ( I will fight for you ) need more outside support including government help and feel ( without fathers or husbands ) more insecure than married women and many men.
They have to feel that paying down the debt, setting social security on a really sound footing, providing medical care, education and other critical public services is safe for them. ( No risky schemes ) and have less concern with tax cuts and ideological motivations.
They have to take care of children, often the elderly or are elderly themselves - they know where the tire hits the road and don't want any fancy machine going too fast on unsafe tires. After the Democratic convention, Al Gore reasserted his lead over Republican George W. Bush among women, with a margin of 15 points or more in some polls, while making the race close among men.
Can Bush win? That question, which had been the subtext to the last couple of weeks of presidential campaign coverage, is increasingly becoming the main text — no longer "subliminable," as one candidate might say.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28193-2000Sep18.html
"Most countries continue to face heavy tax burdens and high debt stocks and are ill-prepared to deal with the coming demographic shock from aging populations," the report said.
http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/09/imf-europe A huge U.S. trade deficit could turn into a serious problem for the American economy if foreigners were to decide suddenly to dump dollar-denominated assets, which could push the U.S. currency down sharply and trigger steep declines in U.S. stock and bond markets http://news.excite.com/news/ap/000919/08/news-world-economy Referring to the various threats, the IMF said, "
The possibility that these imbalances may unwind in a disorderly fashion remains a risk to the global expansion." As for oil, the IMF said oil prices are about 20 percent higher than the IMF had assumed in its economic forecast, an increase of $5 a barrel. It estimated this should add $40 billion over a year's time to the oil import bills of industrial countries and cut their economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.
In the
current context the following will happen - the only question is when:
1.)
The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:
2.) Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar securities have to pay;
3.)
The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market "correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks.
We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers
sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent
some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity"
for the Pacific Rim.
The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.
NEXUM
Like the human brain, the
internet's packets system
can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to
build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would
have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken
into short message blocks now called "packets," each containing its own
routing information,
like a DNA molecule, and
able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred.
With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed
the Internet, click here for the emerging history
of
the 21st century.
Something missing:
An astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever be able to
understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.
Most people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty mile range.
Their perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.
The irrational base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the physical.
The new world order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation.
]
The technology itself is revolutionary.
The global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional, mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the existing order.
Current posts
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cflpflaump@cfl.rr.com
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
pflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfpflaump@cfl.rr.comt/
post.htm
political initiative
social political issues.htm
The go get them firms
Click Here to Wiredbrain Index
Finance Physics:
Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.Finance Physics:
