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OFF
THE WALL: Projections and forecasts:
1.)
President Clinton will resign ( because he has "had-it") to
become a University President sometime between the congressional
elections in Nov. 1998 and the opening of congress in January 1999.
This
establishes a new Constitution system of a six year Presidents with
the next president having years of "on-the-job" training.
It also allows for a selection process other than the crazy primary
process.
The new Vice-president will be black, female or both.
The
republicans will run Governor Thomson of Wisconsin with a female VP.
They may win because
2.)
A banking crisis in China - a run on the banks because of the
problems with state run firms and the PLA industrial complex -
China's People's Liberation Army is business
dynamite that can explode !
The
People's Liberation Army
(PLA) of China has evolved
into
the mainland's biggest conglomerate over the past
10
years and is spreading overseas
causes
a real crash before the Elections of 1999. A successful coup in
Russia, and a small war in the Middle East..
3.)
So much for peace and prosperity
….
s
o w e
l c o
m e t
o t h
e 2 1
s t c
e n t
u r y
NOTES
AND COMMENTS
Once
More From the TOP:
The
core of communications is the base of the
next
revolution. Satellites connected to
earth
stations with super broadband wireless and cable connecting to
"smart universal modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s" for network computers and
universal communications utilities including TV.
ZDNET
The
way the core of the computer - telecommunications market is going is
at the
Watch the
keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
John
Sidgmore.
but
not clear to most reporters and observers. This is one way to
visualize what is happening.
There
are a new products call Web-TV, the network computer, advanced note
books with cell phone built in, and important advances in satellite
communications, Wideband / Broadband, cable modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s and copper wire
telephone services.
Imagine
you have a black box which provides universal communications
services: video telephone, Internet, fax, e-mail, cable TV, regular
digital TV, CD music and games, had digital storage in Zig-a-bites,
and wireless modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) in 10 Meg-bits per second or better.
The question
is who is the Service Provider ?
Imagine
companies, schools, homes where instead of millions of PC the same
black box provides all the applications, data banks, on-site and
computer home workers at their work stations.
The applications
programs are downloaded with the data. A 10 Mb program takes 1
seconds to down load the functions being used at that moment.
The
program "runs" on the CPU of the black box, not time share
terminal, but is fully integrated with the wide area network and the
Internet. Who provides the software, systems management, data
storage, and where is the server ?
Watch
the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
John
Sidgmore.
/monday.html">Bill
Gates keynote at
Watch
the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
John
Sidgmore.
presentation
of NT 5 + uses a NC ( Network Computer ) he po-poed last year.
The
next step is from LAN ( local networks ) to the internet. He talks PC
but programs NC for all the reasons as a low cost "utility"
device Larry of Oracle said last year.
It
could be the satellite companies who own the high ground and the
critical link in the whole system.
There is the fight between Alcatel
Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN 3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get
bands to develop and compete against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is
backed by Boeing (BA.N).
These become the first global telephone (
tele-communications ) company with direct services to companies, and
local service providers. MCI-World Com -BT- ATT - DT -Sprint have to
get into the Satellite Internet business FAST or be replaced.
They
are behind using analog rather than digital systems they should have
made universal 20 years ago.
I
don’t see much future for WIRE including cable after 2000, and
the growth markets are in China,
The USS -was, Eastern Europe, Latin
America, which add up to double the number of users and four times
the amount traffic every 18 months at half the cost per unit. "
For
technology, analysts said the trend within Asia could move
towards the personal computer as a cheaper, commonly available
product.
"Malaysia,
Singapore and Hong Kong will probably lead the way as far as
futuristic technology into the next millennium, but I wouldn't count
out very strong IT investments in China," said Brian Kornegay, a
senior personal computer analyst at IDC. "
The
GREAT industrial companies of the next century will be
tele-communications with a vast variety of "services",
financial, travel, marketing of goods, retail sales, educational, all
global all around us. This is the issue
Nadar
and the NOISE group are all about.
In
all, the three plan to launch several hundred satellites in 2001 and
2002.
The
three projects
, which would offer high-speed multi- media
services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large
amount of radio frequency spectrum.
These connections make possible
the Network
Computer
the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as
telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
Alcatel
Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN 3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get
bands to develop and compete against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is
backed by Boeing (BA.N). In all, the three plan to launch several
hundred satellites in 2001 and 2002.
The
three projects
, which would offer high-speed multi- media
services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large
amount of radio frequency spectrum.
These connections make possible
the Network
Computer
the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as
telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
User
wiredbrain password synergy
http://www.techweb.com/investor/feed/stockRes.cgi
dailystocks
most excellent information
The
report
illustrates just how dominant the computer sector of the
economy has become as technology has become increasingly advanced. ..
For example, the study found that the average wages of those who
provide high-tech services are, in Kazmierczak's words, "phenomenal,"
with high-tech employees earning 73 percent more, on average, than
private-sector employees. Providers of software services in
particular, he said, are finding current economic trends to be
extremely favorable
Ericsson
Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
Two-Day
San Francisco Event Includes Internet Partners Discussing
Convergence
Strategies Third-Generation Wideband Wireless Multimedia mobile
systems.
This technology, to debut in some world
regions in the year 2000, will enable wireless phones/terminals to
deliver not only voice, but also full-motion video, and
data-intensive information such as real-time Internet access.
It's
about time !
The main line press has caught-on to the power of the
internet ? What wiredbrain and others ( mainly Netscape, Oracle, (
considered to be a source of wise counsel or prophetic opinions. b.
An authoritative or wise statement or prediction ) IBM,
SunMicrosystems and the NOISE group ) have been talking about since
Netscape 1.0 and WINS connections - the virtual office and the
Network Computer has now arrived in the PC world.
"
The
new concept ( only to you ) goes by a variety of names:
instant Web office; virtual office; instant intranet; Web tone;
Internet dial tone; and so on.
The idea is to provide everything a
user needs on a central server. Users can then access that server
over the Internet with just a terminal and a phone line.
Then they
"rent" Internet and intranet applications for as little as
$10 to $20 per person per month. (That's a fraction of the per-user
cost of an in-house intranet.)"
and
a box that cost 10 % of a PC work station ( $500 vs. $5,000 ) and
doesn't crash, doesn't need systems managers, and doesn't require
constant upgrades but does need bandwidth.
MONDAY,
OCTOBER 27, 1997
Instant Intranets Just Stage One in Emerging Market Struggle
Jesse
Berst, Editorial Director ZDNet AnchorDesk
What
is clear but not said is this is the end of the Age of the PC. First
the main frame, then the PC now the NC -
There
is now a immense industry we can call
IT
“INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY”.
Ericsson
Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
Two-Day
San Francisco Event Includes Internet Partners Discussing
Convergence
Strategies Third-Generation Wideband Wireless Multimedia mobile
systems.
This technology, to debut in some world
regions in the year 2000, will enable wireless phones/terminals to
deliver not only voice, but also full-motion video, and
data-intensive information such as real-time Internet access.
NEW
YORK, Nov. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- Ericsson today announced that it will
hold a Convergence Conference Nov. 11-12, 1997, at the Clift Hotel in
San Francisco. Addressing Ericsson's Internet initiatives and
strategies, and its technology for Third-Generation digital
Wideband Wireless Multimedia systems, the conference features
executives from Ericsson and leading computer and Internet companies.
IT
now represents the critical modern enterprise growing to be a quarter
of all economic activity.
IT
is a greater engine for growth than railroads in the 19th century,
oil and chemical industries in the first half of this century. IT is
equal to the auto industry, which reached 25 % in the 1950s. “IT”
like the auto industry includes the hardware ( the computer or car),
the infrastructure, (communications and networks or the roads) the
energy ( software or oil ) the services, ( consultants and staff or
Gas Stations ) and parts ( modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s, drives, or car radios ). IT
includes the computers ( the car ), the roads ( the telecom business
), services ( software ) and the social educational infrastructure.
IT
provides the web of life for modern
enterprise - design, production, distribution, sales, of goods and
services. IT is the growth industry and in labor market.
There are
millions of new jobs and additional people needed world wide.
Unlike
the auto industry the IT business evolves quickly. New hardware
computers and chips, new methods of communications, new applications
evolve quickly. IT is quickly becoming one unified, highly complex
living system on a global basis.
The whole is more than the sum of
the parts - synergy that comes from elaborate interactions.
There
are critical “flash point” - global telcom systems based on
satellites connect to earth stations that can use telephone lines
including new high bandwidth technologies, optic fiber, wireless
broadband, and cable connections.
The high bandwidth connections use
improved modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s to provide support for networks.
These new networks
provide what have been called telephones, television, personal
computers, and something new - beyond what now are common utilities.
The
common base system is the “browser”, which will provide all
of the application in a Java type objects - in a Video User Interface
(VUI) using chips that can handle digital TV and Digital Hard Drives
for storage all as parts of the new super modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s.
IT
is why the DOJ Microsoft case is important. What was
called the “operation system” OS now becomes VUI, an
interface between a “terminal” ( telephone, TV, and PC = NC
) and a communications media.
The interface uses program “packets”
as well as content “packets” the operational software is
contained within the data.
The difference between program and
content no longer is significant. With bandwidth the “word
processor” is attached to the files and comes as an instant
updated package at the moment of use. This is Netscape’s, Oracle
and others “vision” and the real challenge to Microsoft.
Berst
Alert FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24, 1997
Bandwidth
Progress Report
The
economics profession, the federal reserve, national planners, and the
stock market is just learning to deal with this change in economic
behavior. Microsoft Internet Explorer 4.0 and Netscape are working on
a
Java Machine that
will be the core of most new computer applications. Suites of
application either on the "video" hard drive or on a
systems server will run on these virtual machines, so will autos, and
all kinds of "real" machines. This replaces Windows, Dos or
other OS and MS knows it.
The communications industry, in fact all of
Information Technology (IT) will provide applications, voice, video,
data and word processing on the internet, intranets, extranets, are
all built on this CORE system which provides on demand applications.
This is the BIG picture. This is the central theme. This is the main
thing. Do you "get it" ?
Review
the technology with the central role of core systems clearly in
mind.
GEORGE
SOROS:
and
common misconceptions: the division between conventional wisdom and
reality.
In
any case, there is something wrong with making the survival of the
fittest the guiding principle of a civilized society. This social
Darwinism is based on an outmoded theory of evolution just as the
equilibrium theory in economics is based on Newtonian physics.
The
principle which guides the evolution of the species is mutation, and
mutation works in a much more sophisticated way.
The species and
their environment are interactive, and one species serves as part of
the environment for the other species.
There is a two-way feedback
mechanism, similar to reflexivity in history, only in history the
mechanism is driven not by mutation but by misconceptions.
The
controlling Paradigm:
George
Soros has make billions when the common knowledge, conventional
wisdom is out of sink with reality. His central point is that
"objective reality" is separate from the ideas that
describe or explain what is being observed. Whatever our ideas about
"science" the physical reality doesn't change. Our
"uncertainty" or viewpoint on physical quantum doesn't
change the phenomena itself.
On
the other hand, public and expert perceptions of human activities
changes the nature of the activities themselves. Our beliefs change
our behavior and common social habits and ideas change who we are and
what we do. This is a reflective feedback loop between perceptions
and reality. Political theory, religious faiths, economic
assumptions, mass media chatter, advertising, hype, hope, needs,
wants, passions or truths and lies all make social reality
"unknowable" and social action can not be based on just
objective reality and the facts.
Letters
from the
Future:
U.S.
White House's Office of Science and Technology Policy report titled
"Science and Technology - Shaping the Twenty-First Century."
"No
technology promises to affect our world more profoundly than the
rapid sweep of digital technology. Every sector of our economy -
manufacturing and services, transportation, health care, education,
and government - is being transformed by the power of information
technologies to create new products and services and new ways to
communicate, resulting in significant improvements in productivity
and knowledge sharing. "
The
Last Norman Conquest:
In
the visage of Diana, Princess of Wales, you can see the remains of
Spencer, a Norman knight. Spencer as much of the British nobility
earned their lands and titles in the Norman Conquest of 10 66.
The
ruling class in Great Britain has been for a 1000 years the remains
of an Army of Occupation.
The
"people" spoke old German, the upper class spoke French and
they still speak different languages, in different accents.
The
landed aristocracy lived in the manor, the landless peasants in the
villages.
They still live in different places, go to different
schools, vote for different parties, read different newspapers, and
think about Diana, the Royally and power in very different ways.
England
has never had a social revolution.
The weight of social class has
held back "the Modern world" as primitive religion has done
in other parts of the world, including the Bible Belt in America.
Maybe its time to change. Modern social class is built on technology
and the income that comes from innovation, not ownership of land and
titles.
Diana
is a modern person.
The creation of mass media. A character in a soap
opera.
The "people" identified with the struggle of the new
with the old, the flow of modern communications vs. Traditions built
in grand isolation.
The castle wall have fallen. Social space has
collapsed.
The mass cultural mythologies and dreams overwhelm the
myths of royal past.
The context is foggy passions the reality is
power of social control.
The "establishment" can not
control the media, they have lost touch with the passions of the
people.
The king is dead, long live the king !
Now
the social reality of the human population on planet earth is going
through a basic mutation, a major change in form, new forms of
business evolution; where common perceptions and conventional wisdom
is often disconnected from the situation on the ground.
The mass
emotion on the death of Princess Diana, is unexplainable, so are
stock markets, the impacts of technology, political reform,
capitalism in China, and the major events of our lives.
There can be
balanced judgments and clever analysis but nothing close to certain
knowledge.
Netscape,
Oracle, IBM, SunMicrosystems and Everyone else ( Corel, Novell ) see
"Internet technologies are creating an opportunity for new
"information utilities," but no one yet knows what they
will look like, Eric Schmidt, chairman and chief executive of
networking firm Novell (NOVL) said in a speech this morning at Summer
Internet World.
We
are not at the end, but at the beginning of this journey,"
Schmidt said referring to the evolution of the Web. "We have a
name, the Web, but we may not have a destination"
CNET
NEWS
And..
Westell, @home, @work, CAIS, American Information Ameritech, AT&T,
Cable Companies, and a rising star in wireless..
Another
innovation from the World's News Leader...CNN Interactive(sm) now
pushes news wirelessly to your desktop or laptop computer. It's
non-stop, world-class news reporting on your computer screen without
logging on to the Internet. Wireless options grow for fast access
By
Jeff Pelline July 24, 1997, 1:30 p.m. PT
The
future belongs to the
aggressive,
fast organizations that grab the new technology - Examples:
C/net, Excite,(XCIT) CNN, (TWX) Pointcast, (EDS) Ericsson, Nortel,
Lucent, Motorola, Hughes-Atcatel, Zenith,(z) General Instruments,
Scientific Attlanta, TCI, EchoStarr and the News-corp, Cisco,
AmerTech, @home, ATHM A
.few companies
IXTC
-- IPass, Global Reach Internet Connection, and Homegate
Aug
5th ....in one day with a flat market.. next day in a down market
....now on Aug 21
Iridium
IRIDF at 28 7/8 up 40 1/2 ****GOOD
Orbital Sciences ORBI at 20
7/16 22 5/8 ***GOOD
Globalstar
GSTRF 35 to 37 to 40 7/8 ****Good
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see
PACKETS
Backwards:
From
argument to intrigue :
It
happens all the time - in Universities, in schools, in the U.S.
Congress, in families and churches; and a lot of companies. Honest
discussion, freedom of expression, breaks down and people turn to
plots and personal agendas. Maybe this is the best clue to future
success or failure. I would invest in firms, or societies where there
is
open
discussion of the issues.
What
happened to Apple was not mainly problems with markets and technology
but cultural.
There is no magic from the great CEO from above - some
great idea or certain magic leader .. but a social system. Apple was
a great place that was (almost) destroyed by people who didn't
understand or care about relationships.
The
Sense and reality of Control:
Many,
if not most people, believe they can not control who they are
- they believe they are what they are and can't change their basic
character or personality.
We
can control the inside more than we can control the outside; so our (
Western ) belief system is in constant conflict with external
reality. In the grand scheme of things, we mainly really only control
our beliefs about reality and our attitudes about what we can do
about our future.
The art of "success" is the faith in the
future, and our attitude:
Going
with the flow...not in a passive way but proactive get us down
stream. It is going along with the reality of ourselves and
the world around us in order to get along with ourselves and
the world around us. It releases energy if we are in the main stream
rather that fighting the flow of energy in self conflict. Fighting
with reality because the world is NOT what we think it is, is a
childish waste of time and kind of crazy in grown-ups.
Many
people, if not most people, believe they can and are responsible to
control the world around them.
They know a lot of things are "out
of control" but they maintain a belief in control. This is what
it is "a belief". It causes a lot of frustration and
tension.
The
future does not exist. We can control our beliefs about who we are
and where we fit in. We are 100 "selves" parent, worker,
economic, political, romantic, soldier, sailor, beggar, thief, saint
and sinner, and 88 more including a god. We can select from these
selves those that will get us what we want and need. We can also
select our wants and needs to fit what we can get.
Human
Evolution was for 300,000 years in troops - where everyone knew each
other, their names and the relationships. Any animal behavior in
their packs, troops, herds and their breading behavior is almost
impossible to change.
The few species that became domestic have
patterns of status and "pecking orders" that allow humans
to "implant" themselves as dominant and in control. Most
species will not become domestic after thousands of years of efforts.
Zebras do not act like horses, Camels remain nasty, most animals are
subject to panic and some will not bread in zoos. Humans have evolved
with the same kind of behavioral "groves". Social
conditions that fit the groves of human psychology and
social-biological habits (Edward O. Wilson)work better that
conditions that don't. "Human" urban conditions push humans
beyond the breaking point. Stable organizations must use "group
dynamics" as forms of extended families and clans, troops and
tribes to form nations.
The
functions of any society, group, class, school, business, is:
1.)
Effective conflict resolution
PATHOS
( feeling ) good rather than nasty
2.) rational effective decision
making
LOGOS
- if people feel OK
They can behave more reasonably
3.)
harmonious economic redistribution ( synergy )
ETHOS
- shared values and goods - not socialism but rational welfare
policy - makes one and two possible - Capitalism as Greed is
dysfunction - but so is free for nothing socialism
4.)
better technology ( the result of one, two and three ) plus
5.)
police and/or military power ( law and order )
6.) large and
productive territories by way of the the growth of US as more and
more others are included as US and less defense from them as less and
less outsiders are THEM. Good Religion and Politics should allows for
more inclusion less exclusion. All religion is not good, all values
are not right or useful, all politics is not bad, all education is
not useful, all business is not greedy, all women, blacks, Jews, et
al is not anything. Prejudice is not a rational guide to social or
personal wisdom.
The
inclusion of more and more people and their differences allows for
innovations, freedom of expression, democracy, freedom and
7.)
integration of smaller groups into larger wholes -
The
Politically correct visions of left and right often miss the
fundamentals of social history and science.
The right forgets the
critical role of the "whole" and the left the requirements
for standards and clear returns on investments, where cost and
benefits depend on individual achievement motivation to go faster,
further and higher. Such motivation is best done in "collectives"
families, groups, packs, tribes, schools, factories, political
parties, churches, and other human
life
forms.
Great
opportunities for a few Million good people
The
PLA ( People's Liberation Army ) Contract:
The
PLA needs a tough all terrain
communications
device - Communicator with Data, Voice, graphics, ( Internet
Browser ) brown box by the millions.
The bandwidth is provided by
Satellites and wireless transporters like cellular phones but better.
The
PLA has the capacity to launch satellites and participate in
manufacture of the network equipment and instruments.
The contract
could be for 10 years a few billion a year.
The system has vast
private applications. Cable & wireless, Singapore communications,
German and Italian telephone,
The Russian networks all can use the
low cost tough cellular capacity of Low orbit satellites.
Microsoft
scours world for employees.
US
software giant Microsoft has announced plans to increase its US
workforce by 19 per cent over the next 12 months, maintaining the
west coast of America as 'the centre of the universe for the software
business'.
The company plans to recruit 3,600 people, many of whom
will come from outside the US due to a shortage of good software
developers in the States.
The Independent, UK.
18/07/97
IT
For example:
The
demand for skilled foreign IT
people : Salary increase 17 % per
year,
.
The Information Technology Association of America, which represents
hundreds of companies from Intel and Microsoft to consultants and
recruiters, estimates there are already 190,000 high tech positions
standing vacant in American IT and non-IT companies. "This can
be considered a conservative estimate of the gap between
companies&rsquo growth needs and the current availability of IT
workers," says the ITAA study, "Help Wanted:
The IT
Workforce
A powerful coalition of American IT companies say
these highly educated immigrants are a critical part of solving a
severe personnel shortage that is a drag on the U.S. industry.
They
warn that they may be forced to take their production outside the
country if they can&rsquot hire more people from abroad.
IEEE-USA
Legal Immigration Policy Issue ... URL:
http://www.ieee.org/usab/DOCUMENTS/FORUM/ISSUES/immigration.html
Summary:
In 1990, partly in response to claims that the nation faced serious
shortages of engineers and scientists, Congress authorized
substantial increases in employment-based immigration to the United
States. Engineering unemployment increased from 2.1% in 1990 to an
all time high of 4.1% in 1993 when 73,000 engineers were out of work.
More Like This: Click here to perform a search for documents like
this one.
(
stories from Excite )
There
is a current shortfall of 250,000 IT positions in the US costing
billions of dollars
MS
great idea was not technological but social.
They
collected people and created synergy. What Microsoft has is not only
a great leadership but 1000's of motivated and talented creators.
They hired "people" and then found how they fit in - they
didn't create positions and try to fit people into jobs.
It's
the culture stupid.
The shift is from material resources to human
talents.
THE
LONG BOOM ?
Businesses,
as well as most organizations outside the business world, begin to
shift from hierarchical processes to networked ones. People working
in all kinds of fields -
the professions, education, government,
the arts - begin pushing the applications of networked computers.
Nearly every facet of human activity is transformed in some way by
the emergent fabric of interconnection. This reorganization leads to
dramatic improvements in efficiency and productivity.
Going
with the flow of the changes over the next 15 years:
The
Western ( white ) Industrial world is likely to decline in relative
terms from two thirds of Global Product (WGP) to 45 %. China will
move from underdeveloped to developing, from less than a $1,000 PCP (
per capita product ) to over $5,000 ( in current dollars ).
The
developing world will grow from one third of the
http://wmg.netcastnetwork.com/
Opening
address:
George Gilder, President, Gilder
Technology Group, Inc.; Contributor, FORBES
ASAP
9:00
pm - 9:30 pm
Special address:
Steve
Forbes, President & CEO, Forbes Inc., Editor-in-Chief, FORBES
Magazine
http://www.forbes.com/telecosm/
The
four principles:
1.)
The rule of law
2.) Sound currency
3.) Reasonable regulations and standards
4.)
Rational taxes
The
Information Economy:
1.)
Rapid decline in the cost of hardware and communications
2.)
Rapid increase in usage
3.) Increased speed
of applications of new technical standards and symbols of integrity
4.) Rapid change in organizations
How
do these tie together ?
1.)
International law for global commerce
2.)
Global currencies and banking - credit systems
3.)
Global communications standards
4.)
International standards for taxes, business regulation
The
"new world order" requires systems of international
regulation of global commerce. A rule of law for communications -
rapid systems for deployment of new technologies and reasonable
conditions for enterprise.
The
International Monetary Fund (IMF or Fund) and the International Bank
for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD or World Bank) were both
established at the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference,
held at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, on July 1-22, 1944.
The two
were created to oversee stability in international monetary affairs
and to facilitate the expansion of world trade. Membership in the
World Bank requires membership in the IMF, and they are both
specialized agencies of the United Nations.
The World Bank was given
domain over long-term financing for nations in need, while the IMF's
mission was to monitor exchange rates, provide short-term financing
for balance of payments adjustments, provide a forum for discussion
about international monetary concerns, and give technical assistance
to member countries.
These functions are still generally true of both
organizations, although the policies determining how they are carried
out have been modified and amplified over time.
The
Fund's legal authority is based on an international treaty called the
Articles of Agreement (Articles or the Agreement) which came into
force in December 1945.
The first Article in the Agreement outlines
the purposes of the Fund and, although the Articles have been amended
three times in the course of the last 47 years prior to 1998, the
first Article has never been altered.
http://www.cftech.com/BrainBank/FINANCE/IMFHistory.html
There
needs to be a new expansion and agreement including standards of Free
Trade
The WTO is the only international body dealing with the rules
of trade between nations. At its heart are the WTO agreements, the
legal ground-rules for international commerce and for trade policy.
The agreements have three main objectives: to help trade flow as
freely as possible, to achieve further liberalization gradually
through negotiation, and to set up an impartial means of settling
disputes.
http://www.wto.org/
FastCounter by bCentral
SEE STOCKS GO INTO ORBIT
The new Vice-president will be black, female or both.
The
republicans will run Governor Thomson of Wisconsin with a female VP.
They may win because
They may win because
China's People's Liberation Army is business dynamite that can explode !
The
People's Liberation Army
(PLA) of China has evolved
into the mainland's biggest conglomerate over the past
10 years and is spreading overseas
3.) So much for peace and prosperity …. s o w e l c o m e t o t h e 2 1 s t c e n t u r y
NOTES
AND COMMENTS
The
core of communications is the base of the
next
revolution. Satellites connected to
earth
stations with super broadband wireless and cable connecting to
"smart universal modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s" for network computers and
universal communications utilities including TV.
earth stations with super broadband wireless and cable connecting to "smart universal modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s" for network computers and universal communications utilities including TV.
ZDNET
The
way the core of the computer - telecommunications market is going is
at the
Watch the
keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
There are a new products call Web-TV, the network computer, advanced note books with cell phone built in, and important advances in satellite communications, Wideband / Broadband, cable modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s and copper wire telephone services.
The question
is who is the Service Provider ?
The applications
programs are downloaded with the data. A 10 Mb program takes 1
seconds to down load the functions being used at that moment.
The
program "runs" on the CPU of the black box, not time share
terminal, but is fully integrated with the wide area network and the
Internet. Who provides the software, systems management, data
storage, and where is the server ?
Watch
the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
Watch
the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
Watch
the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
The
next step is from LAN ( local networks ) to the internet. He talks PC
but programs NC for all the reasons as a low cost "utility"
device Larry of Oracle said last year.
There is the fight between Alcatel
Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN 3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get
bands to develop and compete against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is
backed by Boeing (BA.N).
These become the first global telephone (
tele-communications ) company with direct services to companies, and
local service providers. MCI-World Com -BT- ATT - DT -Sprint have to
get into the Satellite Internet business FAST or be replaced.
They
are behind using analog rather than digital systems they should have
made universal 20 years ago.
They
are behind using analog rather than digital systems they should have
made universal 20 years ago.
The USS -was, Eastern Europe, Latin
America, which add up to double the number of users and four times
the amount traffic every 18 months at half the cost per unit. "
For
technology, analysts said the trend within Asia could move
towards the personal computer as a cheaper, commonly available
product.
The
GREAT industrial companies of the next century will be
tele-communications with a vast variety of "services",
financial, travel, marketing of goods, retail sales, educational, all
global all around us. This is the issue
Nadar
and the NOISE group are all about.
The
three projects
, which would offer high-speed multi- media
services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large
amount of radio frequency spectrum.
These connections make possible
the Network
Computer
the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as
telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
Computer
the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as
telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
The
three projects
, which would offer high-speed multi- media
services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large
amount of radio frequency spectrum.
These connections make possible
the Network
Computer
the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as
telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
Computer
the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as
telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
User
wiredbrain password synergy
http://www.techweb.com/investor/feed/stockRes.cgi
dailystocks
most excellent information
The
report
illustrates just how dominant the computer sector of the
economy has become as technology has become increasingly advanced. ..
For example, the study found that the average wages of those who
provide high-tech services are, in Kazmierczak's words, "phenomenal,"
with high-tech employees earning 73 percent more, on average, than
private-sector employees. Providers of software services in
particular, he said, are finding current economic trends to be
extremely favorable
Ericsson
Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
The main line press has caught-on to the power of the
internet ? What wiredbrain and others ( mainly Netscape, Oracle, (
considered to be a source of wise counsel or prophetic opinions. b.
An authoritative or wise statement or prediction ) IBM,
SunMicrosystems and the NOISE group ) have been talking about since
Netscape 1.0 and WINS connections - the virtual office and the
Network Computer has now arrived in the PC world.
The
new concept ( only to you ) goes by a variety of names:
instant Web office; virtual office; instant intranet; Web tone;
Internet dial tone; and so on.
The idea is to provide everything a
user needs on a central server. Users can then access that server
over the Internet with just a terminal and a phone line.
Then they
"rent" Internet and intranet applications for as little as
$10 to $20 per person per month. (That's a fraction of the per-user
cost of an in-house intranet.)"
Then they
"rent" Internet and intranet applications for as little as
$10 to $20 per person per month. (That's a fraction of the per-user
cost of an in-house intranet.)"
Instant Intranets Just Stage One in Emerging Market Struggle
There is now a immense industry we can call
IT “INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY”.Ericsson
Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
There are
millions of new jobs and additional people needed world wide.
The whole is more than the sum of
the parts - synergy that comes from elaborate interactions.
There
are critical “flash point” - global telcom systems based on
satellites connect to earth stations that can use telephone lines
including new high bandwidth technologies, optic fiber, wireless
broadband, and cable connections.
The high bandwidth connections use
improved modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s to provide support for networks.
These new networks
provide what have been called telephones, television, personal
computers, and something new - beyond what now are common utilities.
These new networks
provide what have been called telephones, television, personal
computers, and something new - beyond what now are common utilities.
The
common base system is the “browser”, which will provide all
of the application in a Java type objects - in a Video User Interface
(VUI) using chips that can handle digital TV and Digital Hard Drives
for storage all as parts of the new super modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s.
The interface uses program “packets”
as well as content “packets” the operational software is
contained within the data.
The difference between program and
content no longer is significant. With bandwidth the “word
processor” is attached to the files and comes as an instant
updated package at the moment of use. This is Netscape’s, Oracle
and others “vision” and the real challenge to Microsoft.
Bandwidth
Progress Report
The
economics profession, the federal reserve, national planners, and the
stock market is just learning to deal with this change in economic
behavior. Microsoft Internet Explorer 4.0 and Netscape are working on
a
Java Machine that
will be the core of most new computer applications. Suites of
application either on the "video" hard drive or on a
systems server will run on these virtual machines, so will autos, and
all kinds of "real" machines. This replaces Windows, Dos or
other OS and MS knows it.
The communications industry, in fact all of
Information Technology (IT) will provide applications, voice, video,
data and word processing on the internet, intranets, extranets, are
all built on this CORE system which provides on demand applications.
This is the BIG picture. This is the central theme. This is the main
thing. Do you "get it" ?
The communications industry, in fact all of Information Technology (IT) will provide applications, voice, video, data and word processing on the internet, intranets, extranets, are all built on this CORE system which provides on demand applications. This is the BIG picture. This is the central theme. This is the main thing. Do you "get it" ?
Review
the technology with the central role of core systems clearly in
mind.
GEORGE
SOROS:
The
principle which guides the evolution of the species is mutation, and
mutation works in a much more sophisticated way.
The species and
their environment are interactive, and one species serves as part of
the environment for the other species.
There is a two-way feedback
mechanism, similar to reflexivity in history, only in history the
mechanism is driven not by mutation but by misconceptions.
There is a two-way feedback
mechanism, similar to reflexivity in history, only in history the
mechanism is driven not by mutation but by misconceptions.
The
controlling Paradigm:
Future:
U.S.
White House's Office of Science and Technology Policy report titled
"Science and Technology - Shaping the Twenty-First Century."
The Last Norman Conquest:
The
ruling class in Great Britain has been for a 1000 years the remains
of an Army of Occupation.
The
"people" spoke old German, the upper class spoke French and
they still speak different languages, in different accents.
The
landed aristocracy lived in the manor, the landless peasants in the
villages.
They still live in different places, go to different
schools, vote for different parties, read different newspapers, and
think about Diana, the Royally and power in very different ways.
They still live in different places, go to different schools, vote for different parties, read different newspapers, and think about Diana, the Royally and power in very different ways.
The weight of social class has
held back "the Modern world" as primitive religion has done
in other parts of the world, including the Bible Belt in America.
Maybe its time to change. Modern social class is built on technology
and the income that comes from innovation, not ownership of land and
titles.
The creation of mass media. A character in a soap
opera.
The "people" identified with the struggle of the new
with the old, the flow of modern communications vs. Traditions built
in grand isolation.
The castle wall have fallen. Social space has
collapsed.
The mass cultural mythologies and dreams overwhelm the
myths of royal past.
The context is foggy passions the reality is
power of social control.
The "establishment" can not
control the media, they have lost touch with the passions of the
people.
The king is dead, long live the king !
The castle wall have fallen. Social space has
collapsed.
The mass cultural mythologies and dreams overwhelm the
myths of royal past.
The context is foggy passions the reality is
power of social control.
The "establishment" can not
control the media, they have lost touch with the passions of the
people.
The king is dead, long live the king !
The context is foggy passions the reality is
power of social control.
The "establishment" can not
control the media, they have lost touch with the passions of the
people.
The king is dead, long live the king !
The king is dead, long live the king !
The mass
emotion on the death of Princess Diana, is unexplainable, so are
stock markets, the impacts of technology, political reform,
capitalism in China, and the major events of our lives.
There can be
balanced judgments and clever analysis but nothing close to certain
knowledge.
CNET
NEWS
By
Jeff Pelline July 24, 1997, 1:30 p.m. PT
The
future belongs to the
aggressive,
fast organizations that grab the new technology - Examples:
C/net, Excite,(XCIT) CNN, (TWX) Pointcast, (EDS) Ericsson, Nortel,
Lucent, Motorola, Hughes-Atcatel, Zenith,(z) General Instruments,
Scientific Attlanta, TCI, EchoStarr and the News-corp, Cisco,
AmerTech, @home, ATHM A
.few companies IXTC
-- IPass, Global Reach Internet Connection, and Homegate
Orbital Sciences ORBI at 20 7/16 22 5/8 ***GOOD
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open
discussion of the issues.
There is no magic from the great CEO from above - some great idea or certain magic leader .. but a social system. Apple was a great place that was (almost) destroyed by people who didn't understand or care about relationships.
The
Sense and reality of Control:
The art of "success" is the faith in the future, and our attitude:
They know a lot of things are "out
of control" but they maintain a belief in control. This is what
it is "a belief". It causes a lot of frustration and
tension.
The
future does not exist. We can control our beliefs about who we are
and where we fit in. We are 100 "selves" parent, worker,
economic, political, romantic, soldier, sailor, beggar, thief, saint
and sinner, and 88 more including a god. We can select from these
selves those that will get us what we want and need. We can also
select our wants and needs to fit what we can get.
The few species that became domestic have
patterns of status and "pecking orders" that allow humans
to "implant" themselves as dominant and in control. Most
species will not become domestic after thousands of years of efforts.
Zebras do not act like horses, Camels remain nasty, most animals are
subject to panic and some will not bread in zoos. Humans have evolved
with the same kind of behavioral "groves". Social
conditions that fit the groves of human psychology and
social-biological habits (Edward O. Wilson)work better that
conditions that don't. "Human" urban conditions push humans
beyond the breaking point. Stable organizations must use "group
dynamics" as forms of extended families and clans, troops and
tribes to form nations.
The
functions of any society, group, class, school, business, is:
PATHOS
( feeling ) good rather than nasty
2.) rational effective decision
making
LOGOS
- if people feel OK
They can behave more reasonably
3.)
harmonious economic redistribution ( synergy )
ETHOS
- shared values and goods - not socialism but rational welfare
policy - makes one and two possible - Capitalism as Greed is
dysfunction - but so is free for nothing socialism
They can behave more reasonably
3.)
harmonious economic redistribution ( synergy )
ETHOS
- shared values and goods - not socialism but rational welfare
policy - makes one and two possible - Capitalism as Greed is
dysfunction - but so is free for nothing socialism
5.) police and/or military power ( law and order )
6.) large and productive territories by way of the the growth of US as more and more others are included as US and less defense from them as less and less outsiders are THEM. Good Religion and Politics should allows for more inclusion less exclusion. All religion is not good, all values are not right or useful, all politics is not bad, all education is not useful, all business is not greedy, all women, blacks, Jews, et al is not anything. Prejudice is not a rational guide to social or personal wisdom.
The
inclusion of more and more people and their differences allows for
innovations, freedom of expression, democracy, freedom and
The
Politically correct visions of left and right often miss the
fundamentals of social history and science.
The right forgets the
critical role of the "whole" and the left the requirements
for standards and clear returns on investments, where cost and
benefits depend on individual achievement motivation to go faster,
further and higher. Such motivation is best done in "collectives"
families, groups, packs, tribes, schools, factories, political
parties, churches, and other human
life
forms.
life
forms.
The
PLA ( People's Liberation Army ) Contract:
The
PLA needs a tough all terrain
communications
device - Communicator with Data, Voice, graphics, ( Internet
Browser ) brown box by the millions.
The bandwidth is provided by
Satellites and wireless transporters like cellular phones but better.
The bandwidth is provided by
Satellites and wireless transporters like cellular phones but better.
The
PLA has the capacity to launch satellites and participate in
manufacture of the network equipment and instruments.
The contract
could be for 10 years a few billion a year.
The system has vast
private applications. Cable & wireless, Singapore communications,
German and Italian telephone,
The Russian networks all can use the
low cost tough cellular capacity of Low orbit satellites.
The system has vast
private applications. Cable & wireless, Singapore communications,
German and Italian telephone,
The Russian networks all can use the
low cost tough cellular capacity of Low orbit satellites.
The company plans to recruit 3,600 people, many of whom will come from outside the US due to a shortage of good software developers in the States.
The Independent, UK. 18/07/97
The
demand for skilled foreign IT
people : Salary increase 17 % per
year,
The Information Technology Association of America, which represents
hundreds of companies from Intel and Microsoft to consultants and
recruiters, estimates there are already 190,000 high tech positions
standing vacant in American IT and non-IT companies. "This can
be considered a conservative estimate of the gap between
companies&rsquo growth needs and the current availability of IT
workers," says the ITAA study, "Help Wanted:
The IT
Workforce
A powerful coalition of American IT companies say
these highly educated immigrants are a critical part of solving a
severe personnel shortage that is a drag on the U.S. industry.
They
warn that they may be forced to take their production outside the
country if they can&rsquot hire more people from abroad.
A powerful coalition of American IT companies say these highly educated immigrants are a critical part of solving a severe personnel shortage that is a drag on the U.S. industry.
They warn that they may be forced to take their production outside the country if they can&rsquot hire more people from abroad.
http://www.ieee.org/usab/DOCUMENTS/FORUM/ISSUES/immigration.html
(
stories from Excite )
There is a current shortfall of 250,000 IT positions in the US costing billions of dollars
They
collected people and created synergy. What Microsoft has is not only
a great leadership but 1000's of motivated and talented creators.
They hired "people" and then found how they fit in - they
didn't create positions and try to fit people into jobs.
The shift is from material resources to human talents.
THE
LONG BOOM ?
the professions, education, government, the arts - begin pushing the applications of networked computers. Nearly every facet of human activity is transformed in some way by the emergent fabric of interconnection. This reorganization leads to dramatic improvements in efficiency and productivity.
The
Western ( white ) Industrial world is likely to decline in relative
terms from two thirds of Global Product (WGP) to 45 %. China will
move from underdeveloped to developing, from less than a $1,000 PCP (
per capita product ) to over $5,000 ( in current dollars ).
The
developing world will grow from one third of the
http://wmg.netcastnetwork.com/
George Gilder, President, Gilder Technology Group, Inc.; Contributor, FORBES
ASAP
Special address:
Steve Forbes, President & CEO, Forbes Inc., Editor-in-Chief, FORBES Magazine
http://www.forbes.com/telecosm/
The four principles:
The rule of law
2.) Sound currency
3.) Reasonable regulations and standards
4.) Rational taxes
The Information Economy:
2.) Rapid increase in usage
3.) Increased speed of applications of new technical standards and symbols of integrity
4.) Rapid change in organizations
2.) Global currencies and banking - credit systems
3.) Global communications standards
4.) International standards for taxes, business regulation